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Nba basketball tips betting dogs

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Binary options info graphic resumes The Atlantic 10, which over the last few years has battled FanDuel offers a loyalty program for accomplished DFS players on their platform. The sportsbooks know this and will shade numbers toward Overs, creating added value to bet Unders. Toronto opens this contest as 1-point favorites. Teams in the same division play each other several times every season. Public bettors love betting home teams, which leads to sportsbooks shading lines further toward home teams, forcing casual bettors to take overpriced numbers. Please note that the NBA picks above for tonight's games are not computer based picks.
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Multinecroman csgo betting But because of the juice, you would be down Email required. Monday Myths: They Knew So home teams were nearly seven times worse ATS against the spread compared with road teams. Think of it this way: If you walk into a bar and everyone is rooting for Team A, you likely want to be holding a ticket on Team B. If football is the undisputed king of sports betting, basketball is next in line to the throne. It may not sound sexy, but it will sustain you over the course of the long haul and keep you alive through the inevitable ups and downs of betting.
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If a team is on an extended winning streak, say five games or more, then the betting public is going to be quick to back these teams. They are all over the media and thus they are getting a lot of attention. This is when you can find value in backing these teams on extended losing streaks.

If you see a team that is coming off a blowout win by 15 points or more, they are most likely going to be overvalued in their next game. Conversely, you can find value in teams coming off a blowout loss. The chances of them shooting as poorly for a second consecutive games are not very good.

Plus, these teams coming off blowout losses usually come back more motivated the next time they play. You want to look for underdogs in favorable rest situations against favorites in poor rest situations. If the favorite is playing the second of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 5 days, then they are likely to be tired and will not play up to their normal level.

If the underdog is only playing their 2nd game in 5 days, they are obviously going to be the more energized team. In football you have over 50 players on a team and at least 30 of those will see significant playing time. In basketball, only 7 of the 15 players will usually have an impact on the game. Fewer impact players to keep track of makes handicapping easier.

I'm not saying football refs are worse just ask Mark Cuban about basketball officiating and in fact the smaller group of refs for basketball could impact a game more if one official has a bad game. A typical NFL game has around 8 scoring plays but a typical NBA game has around so the impact of one fluke play is far more dramatic in football than it is in basketball.

How many times have you bet a team and watched a key player go down in the first quarter? It can sure be frustrating. NBA betting tips Basketball generally produces a lower win percentage for books. There are a few reasons for this. First, players play fewer teasers in basketball than in football.

Teasers retain a higher percentage for the house than do straights, so fewer teasers means a slightly lower hold percentage. The theory is that there is more teaser action in football because of key numbers. Teasing the NY Giants from -8 to -2 crosses the key numbers of 7, 6, 4 and 3 and should greatly increase the chance of winning that bet. On the other hand, the impact of teasing the NY Knicks from -7 to -3 is more difficult to measure, as there are no key numbers crossed in that play.

Second, there are more games so any one upset is less likely to impact the bottom line as much as any one football game. Imagine what a Monday Night Football game upset would do for the numbers. It would take basketball upsets during the week to have the same positive effect on the bottom line. Key numbers are also a factor in this split. Moving the line from If the favorite wins by 3, the book can be middled. If the favorite wins by 4, the book can be sided.

As a result of the more frequent line moves, sides and middles are slightly more common, and the House holds a slightly lower percentage. Some people do think that 4 and 5 can be considered key numbers in basketball but I will reserve this argument for another column. Betting on Basketball: Is There a Strategy?

Football is an easy sport to start betting on because you can do all your handicapping in just one day a week. The NBA plays almost every day so getting started can be intimidating. What you need is to keep your focus narrow until you're an expert at that and then go from there. Start with one team or one division until you get used to the daily routine and eventually it will be pretty easy and only take a few minutes each day. Expanding your gambling horizons from the gridiron to the hardwood will increase your opportunities to bump up your bankroll.

The fact that the Los Angeles Lakers were the favorites last year but didn't win was ultimately good for the books. This year your two biggest superstars have been split up. Kobe's back in L. That has brought some strength and respect to the Eastern Conference and that should help us to get more balanced action.

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Golden State opens this contest as 1. Detroit opens this contest as 6. Houston opens this game as 1. The line on this game has Miami as 8-point favorites. Utah opens this game as 3. Orlando opens this game as 3-point dogs. Toronto opens this contest as 1-point favorites. Houston opens this game as 2-point dogs. Cleveland opens this contest as 3-point dogs. The spread on this contest has Chicago as 3. Please note that the NBA picks above for tonight's games are not computer based picks.

All of these articles are written by our talented staff. If you have any comments or suggestions please email service docsports. The NBA is considered by many to be the best league for sports betting. Yes, the NFL is king in terms of popularity and wagering volume per game but nothing beats NBA basketball over the course of a season. There are many opportunities to make NBA picks every night. NBA lines move more often and are not as sharp as football lines which are under the microscope all week.

NBA odds have a much shorter lifespan meaning there are greater opportunities to find value. That gives Doc's basketball handicappers exponentially more opportunities to offer daily free NBA picks and be even more selective when offering expert NBA picks. Check the video link on the top navigation. Sure, there are the days when the NBA card consists of only tanking teams competing for the right to draft the next Zion Williamson. These teams are bad and their competition for an audience is Seinfeld reruns or maybe getting an extra hour of sleep.

At Doc's we don't see this as trash basketball, we see this as a huge opportunity to make money Each day during the basketball season is an opportunity to make valuable and profitable predictions. Sportsbooks give each NBA team a handicap of X amount of points. That means if books think the Lakers are 4 points better than the Celtics they will offer a line of Lakers If a Doc's handicapper has reason to believe the Lakers are much more than 4 points better, his pick against the spread would be to take the Lakers This is how all bets on the spread work unless bookmakers consider both teams to be evenly matched, in which case the line is a pick, AKA pick'em.

At Doc's the majority of our NBA selections are against the spread. However, there can be outstanding value on betting NBA totals. The pace of the game, as well as which team dictates the pace, is a key factor when handicapping basketball games. NBA total lines are usually well above in today's NBA making them harder for the betting public to find value. For example, the Detroit Pistons team was very consistently within 5 points of the 90 they averaged.

In today's NBA, greater scoring means greater variance. However, professional basketball handicappers can use this to their advantage as the sportsbooks also try to keep track of the higher scoring NBA totals. Doc's sports NBA total picks are some of the best in the business and our total prediction write-ups are insightful.

Along with offering our NBA expert picks, we provide free selections that are intended to help bettors with their handicapping legwork. Parlay picks are sucker bets they say! Never bet and NBA parlay they say! Bettors that speak in these absolutes clearly haven't learned how to find value betting basketball.

Sure, the payout on parlays at most sportsbooks have gone down to the point where putting two of your picks together for the sake of winning more is not a good investment. A few weeks ago, we published an article on ESPN. The system detailed in the article focused on road dogs of 6.

In fact, since our research indicates that 9. With this system in the back of our minds, we wanted to see whether it would be wise to bet other small road dogs on the moneyline instead of the spread — specifically in the NBA. To accomplish this, we decided to build two new systems using our Bet Labs software. This game us an immediate edge as road teams have gone ATS since the start of the season.

As you can see from the screenshot below, road teams are also undervalued on the moneyline although the In fact, the addition of this one simple filter led to immense improvements for both of our systems. However, our expectation was that the moneyline system would be far less profitable as most sportsbooks increase the juice for large moneyline underdogs, thus sucking out much of the value.

Since our goal is to create a winning moneyline system, we wanted to focus on underdogs of 6 or less. The hypothesis was that betting these small visiting underdogs on the moneyline would be more profitable than taking them on the spread. While the addition of this spread range filter substantially increased the return on investment for our moneyline system, we were shocked by the results for the spread system. Both systems have a large sample size, consistent year-to-year results, and a solid driving hypothesis which are the three main criteria for a winning betting system.

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Oklahoma City opens this game as This report has odds and your NBA predictions for todays game against the spread. Chicago opens this matchup as 3-point underdogs. This games report has current odds, betting trends, and free picks against the spread. Milwaukee opens this game as 3. Philadelphia opens this game as 4. The total is set at Golden State opens this contest as 1. Detroit opens this contest as 6. Houston opens this game as 1. The line on this game has Miami as 8-point favorites.

Utah opens this game as 3. Orlando opens this game as 3-point dogs. Toronto opens this contest as 1-point favorites. Houston opens this game as 2-point dogs. Cleveland opens this contest as 3-point dogs. The spread on this contest has Chicago as 3. Please note that the NBA picks above for tonight's games are not computer based picks. All of these articles are written by our talented staff. If you have any comments or suggestions please email service docsports. The NBA is considered by many to be the best league for sports betting.

Yes, the NFL is king in terms of popularity and wagering volume per game but nothing beats NBA basketball over the course of a season. There are many opportunities to make NBA picks every night. NBA lines move more often and are not as sharp as football lines which are under the microscope all week. NBA odds have a much shorter lifespan meaning there are greater opportunities to find value.

That gives Doc's basketball handicappers exponentially more opportunities to offer daily free NBA picks and be even more selective when offering expert NBA picks. Check the video link on the top navigation. Sure, there are the days when the NBA card consists of only tanking teams competing for the right to draft the next Zion Williamson.

These teams are bad and their competition for an audience is Seinfeld reruns or maybe getting an extra hour of sleep. At Doc's we don't see this as trash basketball, we see this as a huge opportunity to make money Each day during the basketball season is an opportunity to make valuable and profitable predictions. Sportsbooks give each NBA team a handicap of X amount of points. That means if books think the Lakers are 4 points better than the Celtics they will offer a line of Lakers If a Doc's handicapper has reason to believe the Lakers are much more than 4 points better, his pick against the spread would be to take the Lakers This is how all bets on the spread work unless bookmakers consider both teams to be evenly matched, in which case the line is a pick, AKA pick'em.

At Doc's the majority of our NBA selections are against the spread. However, there can be outstanding value on betting NBA totals. The pace of the game, as well as which team dictates the pace, is a key factor when handicapping basketball games. NBA total lines are usually well above in today's NBA making them harder for the betting public to find value. For example, the Detroit Pistons team was very consistently within 5 points of the 90 they averaged.

In today's NBA, greater scoring means greater variance. The hypothesis was that betting these small visiting underdogs on the moneyline would be more profitable than taking them on the spread. While the addition of this spread range filter substantially increased the return on investment for our moneyline system, we were shocked by the results for the spread system.

Both systems have a large sample size, consistent year-to-year results, and a solid driving hypothesis which are the three main criteria for a winning betting system. Based on our past NFL research, we thought that it would be more profitable to bet small road dogs on the moneyline than on the spread. Although that did not turn out to be the case, we did determine that small road dogs are greatly undervalued in the NBA. Have any questions for the staff at Sports Insights?

Utilize our live chat to speak with a customer service representative or e-mail us at help sportsinsights. David was the Content Manager at Sports Insights. He has since moved on to greener pastures. By David Solar. Related Posts. Scoring is up in The Milwaukee Bucks