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But seven of their games were lost in the fourth quarter -- so they really weren't as bad as their record would make them seem. Offering an example of how he might approach a game, Ruchman looks at an upcoming contest between the New York Giants and the Philadelphia Eagles, with the Giants favored by three points. If you think the Giants will win the game, it becomes a question of superiority.
Handicappers look at numbers related to offense versus defense, passing versus pass defense, rushing versus rush defense. If one team has a bad rush defense but its opponent doesn't run the ball very much, then that shouldn't get much weight. You look at weather, the importance of this particular game, how a team plays on artificial turf versus grass.
Turf teams are built for speed, grass slows you down. All these things are factors to look at. Some people go with trends -- New York has beaten Philadelphia nine times in a row, so you take New York because they always manage to pull it out -- or situational handicapping, which looks at coach and player changes.
But what does the public do? The public gets up at 9 a. There is no handicapping. While a casual bettor might not have the patience to analyze reams of information, he can glean key details from recent history. Sitting near the pool in the backyard of his ritzy Las Vegas home, he adds, "When the line moves in my direction, I always go further.
When the line moved to 8, I went further and laid down another bet. You have to remember that any team is capable of beating the spread against any other team on a given weekend. Another handicapping element is to downplay the weight that sports books give to injuries, maintains one of the biggest, sharpest players in town, a man we'll call S.
He might be worth 2 or 3. So, theoretically, if you took the other side, game in and game out, you will win. In terms of looking for advantages, if you see the sports book moving its line drastically, you can usually find an opportunity in playing the opposite side of it. Then the line dropped down to 12 and he bet it the other way, hoping to middle the thing. You can also find an advantage over the sports books by becoming an expert where they are not.
For the most part, Vegas linemakers focus on the biggest teams and the biggest games. This makes sense, since they draw the most action and create the most potential liability. But the books still have to spread all the college action on a given Saturday.
It creates opportunities for bettors who can focus on an obscure conference that the linemakers don't pay much attention to. This also comes in handy when a little known team is playing a famously regarded one. To attract action for the little known side, the sports book needs to skew the odds in that team's favor. That is when guys like S. What the hell do you know about the Zips? And you won't bet on them. Guys like S. Because of him and his type, casinos put limits on the action they will take from people who are known to be smart bettors.
This isn't the case with blackjack, craps and other casino games, where large bets are welcomed from guests who surely lose more than they win. But if you walk into a number of the sports books around town, make a series of bets for the limit, and arouse even the slightest amount of suspicion -- say, walking in and out of the casino between wagers, which shouldn't exactly raise the red flags -- you may not be allowed to continue placing bets that day.
I know this for a fact because it happened to me at a major hotel-casino. It seemed an odd way to treat a big-spending customer -- especially one who would eventually wind up losing two of his three bets. It seems that if some sports book managers see someone betting the limits, walking in and out between wagers, they figure that the bettor must know something or be in cahoots with someone.
Well, yes, acknowledges the manager at the sports book where my limit bets were cut off. But "it looked like you were getting outside information," he tells me, acting vague about the exact nature of "outside information" that would upset him. Then he cuts to the chase: "The nature of this business is that we only want people to bet if they have less information than us. We want the money. Not surprisingly, most big bettors side with S.
Billy Baxter, a jovial Georgian who frequently gets the best of any wager he makes, has earned enough money from sports betting to live in an elegant home around the corner from Mike Tyson's place. There wouldn't be demand for these offshore places if Las Vegas had done what it should have. Hotels ought to let you phone in bets from anywhere in America. And instead, "you've got other countries selling [bookmaking] licenses to guys and making money instead of Las Vegas.
Regardless of what limits the casinos set, Baxter says that his edge resides in an ability to observe a sporting event, analyze play, and use a series of arcane details to figure out the best player no, he will not reveal those details.
Baxter says that this ability has allowed him to manage three undefeated professional boxers, including former junior lightweight champion Roger Mayweather. The secret of his success with the fighters, Baxter says, resided in a knack for matching up his guys against subtly weaker opponents. He applies the same thinking to other one-on-one sports. Hence, golf and tennis have been very good to him.
But he's probably He couldn't win in a million years -- not because he's a bad tennis player but because the surface there is not the surface he plays well on. I took on a guy named Sergi Bruguera a few years ago, the first year he won it. He's great on a clay court and I knew it. The next year he came back and won it at Like all serious bettors, Baxter is careful about timing his wagers -- always looking for the best point spreads.
He and other bettors love making halftime bets, which allow gamblers to watch the first half of a game closely and place money on the second half's outcome, often benefiting from linemakers who don't have the luxury of viewing a single, particular game as carefully as a bettor might. Peter Ruchman agrees that halftime action ranks among the best in town: "Oddsmakers can't see every game, so what they often do is take the spread and cut it in half.
It's a gift. You've seen what they haven't. John's are playing. Oddsmakers are not looking at Bowling Green. What often happens is that the team leading at lets up during the second half. March 5, March 23, March 23, March 22, March 21, March 21, February 9, January 31, January 10, December 25, December 25, October 16, October 15, July 15, August 14, August 19, January 25, January 25, September 27, September 27, September 24, September 24, October 4, October 4, September 13, September 14, August 30, August 30, We are officially back from hiatus to breakdown and dish out our aggregated….
We back. The WiseGuys have missed the constituents the last few…. Boyz, boyz, boyz…. Weeeeee baaaaaack with some major golf in the calendar year ! Happy Holidays, Constituents. Why the Rams and the Patriots are heading… January 20, SEC All. Thursday January 10th Hoops January 10, Basketball is Back!
Both bettors could make the exact same size bet on the same team and the book would not flinch at the bet from the square. However, they would be more inclined to move their line because of the wise guy action. For example, if the public is heavily betting on a certain team in a basketball game and the line is moving in a way that makes that public team more attractive, we can fathom a guess that wise guy money is pouring in on the other side.
Generally, a solid rule of thumb while betting is to bet against the public opinion and side with the wise guy since they are much more well-versed in the industry. In and around Las Vegas sportsbooks, well-connected wise guys think Billy Walters would get the chance to bet a line before the sportsbooks make it available to the public. This is a massive advantage for wise guys because they typically have a system in place they believe in that could quickly tell them what the line should be and if there is value or not.
They are usually up late betting outlaw lines for the next day since theiraction is what moves the lines. Our weekly newsletter is loaded with exclusive free picks,insight and advice from our expert handicappers. March 5, March 23, March 23, March 22, March 21, March 21, February 9, January 31, January 10, December 25, December 25, October 16, October 15, July 15, August 14, August 19, January 25, January 25, September 27, September 27, September 24, September 24, October 4, October 4, September 13, September 14, August 30, August 30, We are officially back from hiatus to breakdown and dish out our aggregated….
We back. The WiseGuys have missed the constituents the last few…. Boyz, boyz, boyz…. Weeeeee baaaaaack with some major golf in the calendar year ! Happy Holidays, Constituents. Why the Rams and the Patriots are heading… January 20, SEC All. Thursday January 10th Hoops January 10, Basketball is Back!
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Both bettors could make the exact same size bet on the same team and the book would not flinch at the bet from the square. However, they would be more inclined to move their line because of the wise guy action. For example, if the public is heavily betting on a certain team in a basketball game and the line is moving in a way that makes that public team more attractive, we can fathom a guess that wise guy money is pouring in on the other side. Generally, a solid rule of thumb while betting is to bet against the public opinion and side with the wise guy since they are much more well-versed in the industry.
In and around Las Vegas sportsbooks, well-connected wise guys think Billy Walters would get the chance to bet a line before the sportsbooks make it available to the public. This is a massive advantage for wise guys because they typically have a system in place they believe in that could quickly tell them what the line should be and if there is value or not. They are usually up late betting outlaw lines for the next day since theiraction is what moves the lines.
Our weekly newsletter is loaded with exclusive free picks,insight and advice from our expert handicappers. Surround yourself with smarter people then even yourself. Only use proven company's that share the same goals you have. Money management is the key to success with any kind of investing. Accept the fact, there are obstacles on the road to success, no one reaches the top in one leap, it takes many steps. Don't lose focus on setbacks and instead learn from previous mistakes as lessons of what does not work.
Success is only obtained from wise decisions. Success is certain when preparation meets with opportunity. To achieve wealth, you must take calculated risks. Wealth comes after doing something correct many times in a row. You can win a fortune betting the same side sportsbooks really need to win, when the public all have the other side.
There's one thing worse then even death, that's living a life not worth living. Defeat is not the worst failure. Never trying anything to better ones life is the only failure even possible. You only live once so do whatever it takes to live the lifestyle you want. These 10 keys to wealth are not the same as our 10 proven winning strategies.
Bad money management vs bad handicapping Did you know bad money management can actually cost you more than bad handicapping? Everyone has seen someone have a dream season and win a ton of money during a certain sport only to give it back to the sportsbook by betting it all on the final game of the year like the Super Bowl or whatever.
Here's some other examples. Taking Big Risks : Gambler 3 loves to risk it all for big rewards. Now with a smaller bankroll he ends up risking it all on another game hoping to get some back, and loses the 4th game, he has now lost his bankroll. Gambler 4 is faced with two choices, reload his bankroll with more money or stop playing. These examples show you exactly why we said, any handicapper that has players wager different amounts on each game, eventually cause some to pay a heavy price.
Bet like a pro and you'll get paid like a pro! Losing streaks happen to everyone, know matter how good you are. Don't chase losses with bigger bets. We know proper money management can't make any player win at a higher percentage, but it will make your bankroll last longer, that gives you more opportunity's to get paid. Taking calculated risks to win money is what sports betting is really all about. But those taking crazy risks and betting their entire bankroll on anyone's one million star can't lose game of the year may need a back up plan.
Murphy's law says "Anything can and will happen" it seems real especially when it comes to gambling. Far too often it's just one key play in each game that will make the difference of covering or not, so sometimes you can have the right side and still get jacked. That's the reason money management is critical, remember nothings perfect. The only proven fact is, anything is possible and nothing's a sure thing in life or in gambling. Keeping all of your wagers to a consistent amount on every game is the key to making substantial money and long term success in this industry.
Don't Listen to the Media so much! Commentating on television doesn't make reporters expert handicappers. They rarely factor in the point spread, and only provide their own opinion then reporting facts, like a town gossiper.
Here's some examples: Most said the Raiders had far too much offense for the Bucs in the Super Bowl, the Bucs won. How about the MLB season, St. Louis was the best team all season long and were huge favorites to win the World Series against the Red Sox, because for many decades most really believed Boston was cursed. Yes, Boston finally won the World Series. The national championship between USC and Oklahoma is another great example.
Every handicapper that gave a opinion said the odds maker made a mistake by posting USC as the favorite. We heard it so often we thought we were going to lose the game and it was too late to change our minds, we already bet USC-3 and we released it to our members. Long story short, USC beat the hell out of Oklahoma. Denver won it easy. There's been many examples over the years we could have shown, but this would resemble a novel than a advice page.
Lesson learned Sportsbooks are the pound gorilla Did you know? Sportsbooks make more money each year then the movie industry, music industry, theme parks and all sporting events combined. This fact is amazing but true. Being that good is why sportsbooks are called the pound gorilla. Knowing these incredible facts are why you must pick your spots and only bet when you have a substantial advantage to win.
You always win at a high rate if you only bet quality plays instead of betting toss up plays. Opportunity is all around us, but it can not present itself unless it's acted upon. Those that pass too many solid plays can eventually leave themselves no opportunities at all. Proven Fact: Anyone can make unlimited income betting sports if they only play when they have a clear advantage instead of betting evenly matched teams so often.
Professional sports bettors win consistently by only betting solid plays. Always shop for the best lines Sportsbooks have different lines, so it's always important to shop around, since most times simply just getting the best line is really all the difference you even need to win.
Sportsbooks lines are usually accurate especially when only a few games are available to bet. The lines mean everything, they dictate your play, therefore whenever point spreads change on any plays we wanted to release, we pass on those plays.
In the long run going around taking the worst of the line often comes back to bite you in the tail. When you bet games with razor sharp lines your counting on more luck then skill to win, far too often it's just one key play in games with accurate lines that make the difference of covering or not. We don't force plays because we need all of our members to win money and not gamble just to gamble.
You shouldn't bet games where lines have moved a few points or more and take the worst of it. You don't have to be a pro to bet like one. Sportsbooks lines are only adjusted when too much money from the public is on one side. Public steam games never had a great winning percentage after early lines change, any possible edge is gone.
Sportsbooks actually win 99 out of times if a line moves six points or more. All of us that do this for a living know getting the best line is the most important thing. It's the reason serious players have betting accounts at multiple sportsbooks just to get the best lines possible. Handicapping with trends Betting trends don't always work for many reasons. We will list a few of the reasons why trends lose more often then not. Keep in mind those trends only show the past.
They can not predict the future. Players often switch teams and so do coaches and so when that happens, teams that may have been great for years can become average or worse. Trends show you what happened the last few years when teams played each other. Things often change in sports each season.
Over the years everyone has witnessed teams that were bottom feeders become the top team for a few years after getting a handful of good players. Trends don't adjust for the change fast enough. College teams lose a lot of players to the pro teams and graduation each year so it's a big deal.
Teams that previously won a championship are not as motivated the following season, plus they now have a bulls eye on their back. Even if trends show they were great against the spread last year doesn't mean a thing the next year, especially when every team give their best effort to beat a defending champion to show they are equally as good. Some teams are in rebuild mode and all teams struggle when key players miss certain games due to injuries. Bad weather can easily change the outcome of any game.
Any team can play bad on the road certain seasons even if the trends show they played well on the road for years. Teams get worn out after too many road games in a row. Jet lag is the great equalizer. Less talented teams can beat better teams because of jet lag. No teams can get fired up for every game and often look past a team when their next game after is clearly more important. Trends don't take that into consideration.
After teams clinch a playoff or tournament spot can have a let down or rest star players instead of risking injuries to their players in a meaningless game. You've seen many teams end up being better then most predicted and seen teams with great expectations never live up to the big name talent they had for years. Star players have bad games some days in every sport.
Let's not forget, referees and judges can dictate if a team covers the spread or not with penalties. They decide who wins a decision on fights going the distance. Like we said before some trends are good but many go out the window everyday. Trends only show past outcomes, not future results. Each year is always different for every team therefore you must handicap games for how teams are currently playing. There are millions of smart people that never succeed as they should, which only proves it's not what you know it's what you do that's important.
Bet correctly and you'll be successful. Don't lay half points Whenever a half point is added to the line of any favorite your betting in football or basketball you should buy the hook off. Don't let sportsbooks beat you out of your money just because a half point. Those half point hooks determine the outcome on thousands of wagers every single day. Protect your money in every situation. When you buy off a half point, it's not as if you won't get your money back if the. Nearly every service sell picks with the hook and make players think it's acceptable to give up half point on favorites.
Even though every service knows for a fact those half points beat more out of their money then anything else. Sportsbooks beat the hell out of most novice bettors and even beat many pros because the way they choose to bet. It doesn't pay extra like baseball and hockey does if you lay Money line sports is a completely different situation. It's sometimes necessary to lay This doesn't change the fact, all sportsbooks want players to lay the hook, that's why they basically force players to give up Sportsbooks prove it's true by paying big money if you lay Sportsbooks have a huge advantage on players laying Players only have one way to win, your team must win by 2 or more.
Sportsbooks have two chances to beat you when you lay Sportsbooks are not billion dollar corporations by sheer luck, mistake or by chance. They are the pound gorilla. They win with sharp lines and by using smart tactics such as adding the extra half point to the spread of favorites.
They call those. Serious sports bettors always buy off any. Every player should buy off any hook, its only ten dollars per hundred wagered. Buying off the. There's nothing worse then letting sportsbooks beat you out of your money all because of a half point.
Sportsbooks only add on half point hooks to the point spread to beat novice players. Offshore sportsbooks allow players to buy off a half point even on key numbers. A few post lines before Las Vegas sportsbooks. Professional players like betting with offshore sportsbooks for that reason.
Sportsbooks will do whatever it takes to win but they have one disadvantage, they have to post lines on every single game. When there are hundreds of games on the betting board, it's not possible for them to be accurate on every line. Players have the advantage because they don't have to bet every game, players can bet only games with a edge.
The books don't have the option to sit out too many games. Sportsbooks use psychology to beat players Look at the facts. If all you had to do is bet the good team against the bad teams to win money every sportsbook would get crushed daily and those mega gaming resorts would go out of business fast. Offshore sportsbooks win so much they provide stats and trends for every game right on their website for anyone to use to try and beat them. Sportsbooks know those stats and trends are not going to beat them consistently enough against the spread to hurt them or they obviously would not provide them.
ESPN shows the past stats before games play. Our sports service also provide trends in each sport for anyone that uses them to handicap games. Sportsbooks odds maker Ken White makes rock solid lines since taking over as the top odds maker in the country. For many years the top odds maker was Roxy Roxborough. Roxy was good, but wasn't a gambler, he was a number cruncher. Every odds maker before Ken came along use to juice up many lines on purpose, they understood most the public would bet favorites know matter what, juiced lines made it easy for those of us that do this for a living to find bad lines and make easy money.
Ken White rarely posts bad lines, some lines are very accurate on certain games, making no real advantage to taking either side, which forces professionals to pass on certain games or risk relying more on luck then skill to win. Ken isn't just another numbers man, he was a professional sports bettor before becoming top odds maker in the country for every major sportsbook, knowing which side the public will bet assists him in making the opening lines.
There's a lot of effort that is put into making the point spread. The odds maker has a elite team of advisers most professional bettors call the "Murderers Row. Odds makers also make some of the betting lines by predicting which way the public is going to bet by using psychology, they understand human nature "Most behave and think logically with great similarity" most are also swayed very easily by what they just seen or heard, especially when it comes to major sporting events.
Sportsbooks know there is a system that works for everything. The point spread is made using a combination of a winning formula of math and psychology which continues to withstand the test of time. Sportsbooks prove how good they are by making billions. Sportsbooks with High Limits Pinnacle sportsbook accepts the highest limit on sports betting online that we know of.
Some prop bets have a limit on how much you can wager. Bookmaker sportsbook offers high limit betting on all major sporting events. Everyone eventually learns they can place many wagers online because the wager limit resets after 20 minutes at 5Dimes. The best offshore sportsbooks like 5dimes.
That gives serious sports bettors the chance to bet before major line moves take place. Most the other sportsbooks wait to see where the money is going overnight before posting their own lines in the morning. Sportsbook depositing and withdrawals vary. The most popular deposit method is a bank wire transfer.
Sportsbooks offer other deposit methods like Neteller, Moneybookers, Instadebit. Some let you use your Visa or MasterCard if you want. Most depositing methods are free, but some third party services providing deposit methods charge a small one time fee per transaction.
The most important are withdrawals, make sure you take your profits out and pay yourself often. Sportsbook Official Rules All games are required to go a certain length of time to be official. If a game is subsequently called or suspended, the winners are determined by the score after the last full inning unless the home team tie the score or takes the lead in the bottom half of the inning in which the game was suspended. The winner is then determined by the score when the game is called.
This is the rule even if the game is suspended or completed on a different day than the event began. MLB Baseball Totals - When wagering on total runs or run lines, the game must go the regulation 9 innings or 8.
If any boxing or UFC fight is rescheduled or a opponent is changed it's no action for our service unless we state otherwise. Soccer - 90 minutes of play. Games can end in a draw, go extra time or go to penalty kicks. Check sportsbook rules on soccer so you bet correctly to win on games going extra time. On half time wagers, overtime periods are included as part of the 2nd half.
Other Sports: All other contests involving a scheduled length of time limit must play to their conclusion or have 5 minutes or less of the scheduled playing time remaining when the contest concludes to be considered official for wagering purposes. Take Your profit Players must take back profit.
It's important to take some profit. You should take out the amount of the bankroll you started the season with or take out some of your profits when you are up big during a season. It doesn't matter if it's the second month or the middle of the season when you take your profit, doing this will guarantee you another successful season and the profit you've taken out can't be given back to the sportsbooks, no matter what, even if you trade money back and forth the rest of the season or even if you lose a few more games then you win the rest of the way.
Making more profit by raising wagers There is an exception to the rule. When any player has already made substantial profit and still wants to make more money, there are options. They can take out some of their profit or just their original bankroll they started the season with and then raise their wager amount on each game they bet. Don't forget it's critical to keep your wagers the same amount once you raise them to a higher amount. You can see the reason you should do it previously on this page where we mentioned raising wager amounts and lowering wager amounts to see why it's still important to use proper money management.
Try to find out exactly how the odds maker came up with the lines on the games your betting like professional bettors, or you won't know for sure if any line is even accurate. There's times when sportsbooks post the wrong team as the favorite because most bet on favorites. Many novice bettors tend to make their decision for their next play by what they had just seen without handicapping the teams next opponent.
It's possible the team they are playing next always has their number and beats them every time. Always check team schedules to make sure a team your betting next is not in a major flat spot, especially when any team is coming off an enormous victory they were not even expected to win.
Another flat spot is when teams look past their next opponent because their next game is more important to them. Keep in mind, no team can possibly get pumped up for every single game, but teams get fired up playing revenge games. We find handicapping a handful of teams in a couple divisions works better then trying to handicap every single team in the entire league.
Learning each teams strengths and weakness gives you a serious edge when those teams match up. Look for a team that's nearly unbeatable playing at home but aren't competitive on the road. You can bet against those teams when they go on the road after coming off a home win and vice versa. Picking your battles is key to winning streaks The sportsbooks call those that bet favorites a square as if betting only underdogs every time really works better.
The truth is, underdogs don't win anymore consistently against the point spread then favorites. The key is picking your spots, look for solid plays that give you a better than average chance to win whether favorite or underdog.
We always suggest betting favorites early as possible since the public often bet favorites and lines go up. Bet underdogs late to get the best lines. Every season is different so you must adjust the way you handicap games often to beat sportsbooks. It can make the difference of a great or average year. Playing underdogs with a good chance to possibly win the game straight up is smart. Pro teams tend to play closer to the point spread due to being on a level playing field because of equal talent.
Any team can beat another on any given day. It's better to find mismatches with top college teams, since unlike pro teams, college teams count on votes and therefore need to impress pollsters to get ranked. Top ranked teams always attempt to run up the score to move up in polls. On the other hand, counting on garbage teams to get you paid can get you taken straight to the cleaners.
Best Bet Advice When it comes to best bets released by our top expert, our service suggests you double your normal wager on those, since best bets have always won more then they lost every year in all member sections. Nothing is a sure thing but some are close enough to take the shot. Even if you decide to load up and hammer best bets, it's okay as long as you wager the same amount on each one, that way even if one loses you still make substantial profit.
In the end, despite all our advice, only you can decide how much to wager on any plays. Every best bet has a We've been very successful at winning money consistently for enough years, other services join us. Even though we suggest everyone always bet the same amount, members that are high rollers want to hammer games frequently.