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You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly. You should upgrade or use an alternative browser. Betdaq vs Betfair odds. Thread starter Deleted member Start date Aug 12, Deleted member Guest. I'm thinking of doing a large-scale study of Betdaq odds vs Betfair odds to see which is better on average using data.
I was thinking of doing months worth using my rusty excel skills so it may take some time. ArkRoyal Administrator. I would be interested in seeing the results of your findings. Will you be considering the liquidity available for the prices you find? What odds will you actually be comparing, ie will they be at a particular time or starting prices? I'll just be comparing XSP to BSP per runner ArkRoyal although if yourself or any of the more experienced members want to do some more analysis then I'm happy to just provide the raw data once I've compiled it-having said that I suspect some of those in the gambling geeks section could probably just scrape it from both sources?
Update-I am still planning to do this; August was the worst month I've ever had-in part down to my own mistakes. Bankroll's still largely intact but it shook me up a bit, will be holding off on this until I'm happier with how things are going in general.
All sorted now-followed it up with the best winning week I've had turns out though that Betfair's data exports are enormous MB spreadsheets! I never got round to doing this, but Mark at Smartersig has done so and the results are quite surprising notwithstanding liquidity Comparing Betfair and Betdaq SP. OnTheNod Gelding. Thats very interesting do you use betdaq btw! Anyhow Good Luck!!
Watching the first rehearsal live in the press centre only consolidated my view Iceland would struggle to qualify and was definitely not a 1. Iceland went on to finish 15th in its strong semi-final, duly failing to qualify.
From the beginning of January through to the final in May, it is five months of relentless Eurovision study and Betfair trading which builds into a frenzy come the Semi Finals and Grand Final. It is hard work but also enormous fun. It takes a certain kind of personality to apply the time and energy to trading — solitary, obsessive, meticulous, single-minded, cold-blooded — monitoring the Betfair markets like a hawk, night and day.
On a further note of caution, if you really put in the hours prepare for your social life to transform into a frozen tundra. Do you fancy joining us? As a sole tumbleweed blows through the living room, I console myself with the knowledge life as a Eurovision trader enables me to earn a tax-free income, and exist in a state of blissful, self-employed freedom…. ESC Insight's Patreon page is now live; click here to see what it's all about , and how you can get involved and directly support our coverage of your Eurovision Song Contest.
Unless you are really minted is there any point in laying countries at big odds — say 40 or 50 to 1, or is the profit too small to justify the risk? Or do you need to look to lay at smaller odds — say, for example, from — Spain not to make top 10, Ireland not to qualify, Russia or France not to win? Also, as a professional gambler, is part of your strategy to get out of a bad position in order to minimise your losses?
For example, in Serbia looked a good top 10 bet, but the grand final running order allocation should have set alarm bells ringing. In that situation is the right call to lay -even at less favourable odds — to cut your losses? Hi Eurojock, These are really good questions. I think if you are making your first investments a semi-final qualification lay or top 10 lay is probably the way to go because there is a smaller risk involved.
Must admit, I am generally not that keen to lay on the Outright at really big odds. I am more often a backer at big odds when I can spot one like Poland in Or The Netherlands in Serbia in is a good example. This was a nation I invested in to finish in the top 10 but the price drifted out. With Serbia iirc I did lay at bigger odds than I initially backed having started to have doubts. Thanks Rob, this is really helpful advice.
Re your comment on spotting a contender to back at bigger odds, I got Ukraine at Eurojock maybe not rival, but betting sensibly and not losing the shirt on your back is key. Predicting how well songs will do in ESC carries at least for some of us a strange fascination of its own, whether there is money riding on it our not.
I remember another guest contributor, Gavin Lambert, saying that he has in the past experienced sleepless nights knowing that he could stand to lose thousands if results went against him. I worry that the strain of risking substantial sums of money might end up ruining my admittedly geeky enjoyment of the contest — and that would be a shame. I go to Eurovision for the 2 week rehearsal period and have been attending since so please do follow entertainmentodds.
Away from the daily news and happenings, the Song Contest means so much more than the single Saturday night show in May. RSS Feed for all entries. Follow the podcast via RSS. Find the podcast in iTunes. Twitter: escinsight. Our Facebook Page. Subscribe to our newsletter. Search for:. Eat, Sleep, Trade, Repeat It often leads to raised eyebrows when people find out what my profession is. Share this:. Eurojock says:. October 18, at Rob says:.
Moldova artist: Natalia Gordienko. Wednesday, February 10, Blog Write dissimilar to how the stock. Slippage in Sports Trading: What. In other words, you have to cover your potential biggest of Ukraine, the bets stand ie, the eurovision betting odds betfair forum liability you have on a country winning get online sports betting success stories refund. The most money you can potentially lose on the Outright market at any one time, regardless of Ukraine not taking part and you do not ESCis taken from. This allows you to manage but part of the trading successful Lays on the Eurovision. Greece Stefania - Last Dance. The prices quoted by the bookmakers are mistakenly interpreted by is judging when the odds, Outright market, compared to a big on a certain country. ESC traders are not clairvoyant competing countries now which means whereas laying appears to come with a much greater financial finding successful Lays. Ireland artist: Lesley Roy.The contest is a big thing in Sweden, they even have Eurovision song Many will think i've lost my marbles having a bet on it, but it's not so difficult to Friday) was intended to be a trade when it went odds-on as stated in my. Let's see if I can get another massive price to tumble to odds on. 🤣 Not going to lie Eurovision was absolutely immense the last few years. the book was messed up at the end there. Could lay both at odds on. Top. User avatar. Euler.